Palantir Stock is Surging: Is it Too Late to Invest?

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Written By Elizabeth Monroe

Earnings Overview

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) revealed its fourth-quarter financials, showcasing a non-GAAP EPS that met forecasts and a revenue that slightly exceeded expectations by $5.55 million.

Palantir Headquarters Campus Exterior View Silicon Valley Palo Alto California — Stock Photo, Image
Credits: DepositPhotos

This announcement catalyzed a notable surge in the company’s stock price, marking a 40% increase post-earnings release.

Read More: Is This Small Cap Stock Positioned for a Rally?

Financial Milestones

A key highlight from the earnings report was Palantir’s achievement of GAAP profitability for the fifth consecutive quarter, fulfilling its ambitious goal of maintaining profitability throughout 2023.

This consistency in financial performance has positively influenced market sentiment towards the company.

Strong Cash Position

Palantir maintains a robust financial standing, with $3.7 billion in cash and short-term investments, representing about 7% of its market capitalization.

The company’s ability to generate significant interest income, amounting to $132.5 million in FY 2023, further bolsters its financial health.

Strategic Expense Management

The company exhibited prudent expense management, with total operating expenses barely increasing despite a 15% YoY revenue growth.

Palantir’s focus on research and development, coupled with a reduction in administrative costs, underscores its commitment to sustainable growth.

Margin Expansion

Palantir’s operational efficiency is highlighted by the notable expansion in GAAP operating margins, which improved from 1% in Q1 to 11% in Q4.

This margin enhancement is a testament to the company’s effective cost control measures and operational optimization.

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Areas of Concern

Government vs. Commercial Revenue Growth

The disparity between the growth rates of Palantir’s government and commercial segments has widened, with government revenue growing at a slower pace compared to the robust 32% YoY growth in commercial sales.

The lesser growth in government revenue is a point of concern, given the long-term value and stickiness associated with government contracts.

Share Dilution

Over time, Palantir has experienced a gradual increase in its outstanding shares, which has risen by 12% since June 2021. This dilution of shareholder value is a critical issue that warrants attention from investors.

Market Reaction and Valuation Concerns

Investor Euphoria

The stock’s significant rally post-earnings, coupled with an overwhelmingly positive sentiment among analysts, has led to concerns about market euphoria.

Such sentiment, while reflective of the company’s recent success, may not fully account for the inherent risks and challenges ahead.

Valuation Multiples

Despite the company’s promising growth trajectory, Palantir’s forward valuation multiples remain high, trading at a forward multiple of 75.

Tula, Russia - November 11, 2020: Palantir Technolgies logo on iPhone display — Stock Photo, Image
Credits: DepositPhotos

This valuation raises questions about the stock’s sustainability at current price levels, especially when compared to more established companies with lower valuation multiples.


Palantir Technologies has demonstrated commendable financial performance and strategic discipline, particularly in its approach to profitability and expense management.

However, the stock’s rapid appreciation and the potential for market volatility necessitate a cautious approach.

Investors should closely monitor the company’s future growth prospects and market positioning, especially in the face of increasing competition and market expectations for continued profitability.

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