Jamf Holding’s Downward Trending Performance Raises Eyebrows

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Written By Marcus Reynolds

Jamf Holding (NASDAQ: JAMF) specializes in developing device management solutions for Apple devices, such as Macs, iPads, iPhones, and Apple TVs, primarily in workplace and office settings.

Despite the initial excitement surrounding its public offering in 2020 at $39.7, the company’s share performance has been disappointing. After reaching an all-time high of $47, the stock has trended downward, losing over 59% in the past five years.

Currently trading at $16.3, down 6% year-to-date, JAMF presents a potential buy opportunity with a one-year price target of $18 per share, projecting an 11% upside.

Recent feature launches aimed at enhancing security for the Apple Vision Pro could serve as potential catalysts for growth. Additionally, JAMF stands to benefit from the increasing demand for securing connected Apple devices in the workplace.

Financial Performance Review

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JAMF’s financial fundamentals have been mixed. Revenue growth has slowed from over 30% to 15% year-on-year recently. In Q1, the company reported revenue of $152 million, reflecting a 15% year-on-year growth.

However, operating cash flow (OCF) has declined since 2022, primarily due to significant OCF burns in Q1 of both this year and last year. These declines are attributed to high expenses associated with system transformation and restructuring activities, which have slightly impacted liquidity.

JAMF ended Q1 with $224.5 million in cash and short-term investments, a slight decrease from the previous quarter. Additionally, high levels of share-based compensation (SBC) have contributed to GAAP unprofitability, with a net loss margin widening to -13.5%, indicating that the company is still far from achieving GAAP breakeven.

Several catalysts could drive JAMF’s growth in FY 2024 and beyond. Notably, the company has launched several features for Apple Vision Pro and continues to explore expansion opportunities driven by the growing enterprise demand for securing connected work devices.

As a company focused on Apple-centric solutions, JAMF stands to benefit from the increasing penetration of AR/VR headsets like Apple Vision Pro. The AR/VR market, currently in its early stages, is projected to grow at a 30% CAGR through 2028, offering significant opportunities for JAMF.

Growing Enterprise Demand

With more than 1.4 million Apple Vision Pro units expected to be shipped by 2025, the device is likely to remain a significant player in the AR/VR space.

Increased usage of Vision Pro in workplaces is expected to heighten cybersecurity and unauthorized access threats, further driving demand for JAMF’s offerings. In anticipation of this, JAMF has introduced relevant features for Vision Pro, positioning itself well to meet the growing enterprise demand.

For example, Jamf Pro allows organizations to enroll and deploy enterprise apps and settings for Apple Vision Pro, Jamf Connect ensures secure access to enterprise resources, and Jamf Protect extends mobile threat defense, network protection, and content filtering to the device.

Focus on Security

JAMF’s focus on security has paid off, with commercial security product ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) making up 21% of the overall ARR. This focus is likely to continue driving subscription revenue growth and margin expansions from lower customer acquisition costs.

Risks and Challenges

While near-term structural risks are minimal, JAMF’s strategy of pursuing inorganic growth through mergers and acquisitions (M&As) presents some risks. The company has invested $550 million in M&As since 2018, with recent acquisitions focused on enhancing security capabilities.

However, the cybersecurity sector is highly valued, and integration risks are significant. JAMF may need to allocate more resources than anticipated to integrate new offerings with its existing solutions and bring them to market, potentially exerting pressure on the bottom line.

GAAP Unprofitability and Operating Costs

JAMF has not achieved GAAP profitability, with high SBCs and rising G&A expenses driven by M&A-related activities contributing to operating costs. In Q1, G&A expenses increased due to higher SBC expenses, acquisition-related costs, system transformation costs, and restructuring charges.

These factors highlight the challenges JAMF faces in managing costs while pursuing growth through acquisitions.

Positioned to Benefit from Apple Adoption

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Jamf Holding provides critical device management and security solutions for Apple devices, positioned to benefit from the increasing adoption of Apple products in workplace settings.

The recent enhancements for securing Apple Vision Pro usage at work could serve as strong growth catalysts. However, JAMF’s focus on M&As may continue to pressure its bottom line from a GAAP standpoint if not executed well.

Investors should monitor JAMF’s ability to manage costs and successfully integrate acquisitions while capitalizing on market opportunities.


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