SolarEdge Technologies Share Price Has More Than Halved This Year: Is It Time to Buy?

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Written By Faith Boluwatife

SolarEdge Technologies was once a promising turnaround story due to under shipping demand. However, the company recently shocked the market with signs of creating extra demand via aggressive financing. Additionally, SolarEdge had to raise additional capital, which significantly impacted the stock.

Double Whammy Impact

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SolarEdge recently announced a significant setback with a customer filing for Chapter 7 bankruptcy. The company holds an $11.4 million secured promissory note with this customer, with uncertain recovery prospects.

This incident raises concerns about SolarEdge’s credit policies and its potential practice of pushing solar equipment sales on financially unstable customers. The company was already under shipping demand by over $200 million per quarter due to excessive inventory dumping during peak sales last year.

As of Q1, SolarEdge reported accounts receivable (A/R) of $404 million with allowances of $19 million, highlighting potential lax credit policies. The prior concern about high A/R balances has now been validated, as customers with excessive inventory often become financial liabilities.

Despite this, the company needs to deliver on new production launches, which require significant revenue growth.

Financial Challenges

SolarEdge’s financial health has been under scrutiny due to its high inventory levels and cash burn rate. The company’s inventory has surged to $1.5 billion, up $100 million sequentially, indicating inefficient inventory management.

Historically, SolarEdge maintained inventory levels below sales, but now inventory matches about six times the forecasted Q2 revenues of $250+ million.

The company’s balance sheet shows a cash reserve of $681 million, but management forecasts a Q1 cash burn of $150 million. To address this, SolarEdge announced a $300 million convertible debt offering, with an additional $45 million potential debt, adding $345 million in cash.

This move raises concerns about the company’s ability to generate cash by monetizing inventory and A/R balances.

The SEC filing highlighted ongoing concerns: extended customer credit, manufacturing ramp-up leading to higher inventory, and a slower pace of A/R collections. Although SolarEdge has sufficient cash and assets to manage the $150 million cash burn in Q2, the convertible debt signals deeper financial management issues.

Market Reaction and Future Outlook

The stock dropped 20% to $26 following the convertible debt announcement, reflecting investor concerns over financial management. Management’s decision to repurchase $33 million worth of shares at $65.67 per share during Q1, amidst a $217 million operating cash burn, further questions their financial decisions.

Additionally, extending credit to a customer who quickly filed for bankruptcy has resulted in potential cash losses and the loss of a significant customer.

SolarEdge reconfirmed its Q2 sales target of $250 to $280 million. However, the primary concern is whether the market can normalize and grow in the second half of the year towards a sell-through rate of $500 million.

If management can demonstrate a rebound in revenues to the $450 to $500 million quarterly range and resolve the inventory and A/R issues, the stock could potentially bottom out and rebound.

Conclusion

Credits: DepositPhotos

The key takeaway for investors is that SolarEdge Technologies’ market cap has dipped below $2 billion, which might seem like a compelling valuation. However, the stock currently has too many red flags to justify taking advantage of the dip.

Investors should closely monitor the company’s ability to manage its financial challenges and achieve the projected sales rebound before making any investment decisions.

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