Is Microsoft Stock a buy?

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Written By Jackson Hartwell

Over the past decade, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has undergone a remarkable transformation, evolving from a company primarily known for its Windows operating system and Office productivity software to a diversified tech giant.

This metamorphosis has been mirrored in its stock performance, with an impressive 920% increase since 2014. Today, Microsoft is not only a leader in technology, but also as a titan in terms of market valuation.

Diversification and Growth in Multiple Sectors

Microsoft’s success can be attributed to its strategic diversification across various high-growth sectors in the tech industry.

Credit: DepositPhotos

The company’s foray into cloud computing with Azure, its expansion into the gaming world with Xbox and acquisitions like that of Bethesda Softworks have all contributed to the company’s growth.

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Cloud Computing: A Pillar of Strength

A significant pillar of Microsoft’s growth story has been its cloud computing segment, particularly Azure.

Microsoft Azure has become a formidable competitor to Amazon Web Services (AWS), offering a range of cloud services that cater to businesses of all sizes.

The fiscal year 2023 saw a striking 19% increase in revenue from Azure, highlighting the growing reliance of businesses on cloud infrastructure and services. This trend is expected to continue as more companies undergo digital transformations.

Artificial Intelligence: Leading the Charge

Microsoft’s investment in AI and its partnership with OpenAI have placed it at the forefront of AI development.

By acquiring a 49% stake in OpenAI, developers of the groundbreaking ChatGPT, Microsoft has secured access to cutting-edge AI technologies.

This has allowed the company to integrate AI enhancements into its existing products like Office, Azure, and Bing, significantly enhancing their capabilities and user experience.

Unlike some of its competitors, Microsoft has made clear its plans for AI integration, positioning itself as a leader in this high-growth sector.

Financial Performance and Stability

In terms of financial performance, Microsoft’s fiscal 2023 was a testament to its resilience and strategic focus. Despite challenging economic conditions, the company reported a 6% increase in revenue to $212 billion. Its emphasis on commercial sectors like cloud computing and digital productivity services has helped it navigate market fluctuations more effectively than companies with a heavier reliance on consumer spending.

Moreover, Microsoft’s significant cash reserves, evidenced by over $63 billion in free cash flow last year, provide it with the financial flexibility to continue its aggressive investment in R&D, strategic acquisitions, and market expansion efforts.

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Earnings and Stock Price Projections

Looking forward, Microsoft’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to reach $15 by fiscal 2026. Based on its current forward P/E ratio of 33, this would translate to a stock price of around $495, marking a potential 35% increase over the next two fiscal years.

This growth trajectory not only outpaces general market indices like the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 but also signals Microsoft’s potential to yield significant returns for investors.

The company’s stock price growth is not just a result of its current performance, but also of its promising future prospects.

Microsoft’s investments in emerging technologies like AI and cloud computing are expected to keep it at the forefront of the tech industry.

The company’s ability to innovate and adapt to changing market conditions has historically been a key driver of its success, and this is expected to continue.

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Market Cap Race with Apple

The race to become the world’s most valuable company is a close one between Microsoft and Apple.

Credit: DepositPhotos

While Apple currently leads, the narrowing gap in market cap is a testament to Microsoft’s growth and the market’s confidence in its future.

This competition is not just about numbers, but also about the strategic direction of both companies. Microsoft’s diversified approach and its investments in future technologies might give it the edge it needs to eventually overtake Apple.

Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships

Microsoft has also been strategic in its acquisitions and partnerships, which have played a crucial role in its growth.

Its acquisition of LinkedIn, for instance, expanded its presence in the professional networking and online recruitment space. Similarly, its partnership with OpenAI has given it a competitive edge in AI, a field that is expected to be transformative in the coming years.

Challenges and Risks

Despite its strengths, Microsoft faces several challenges and risks. The tech industry is rapidly evolving, and keeping up with technological advancements is crucial. Competition is fierce, not just from Apple, but also from other tech giants like Amazon and Google. Additionally, regulatory concerns and geopolitical tensions can impact its global operations.

Long-term Investment Outlook

For investors, Microsoft presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity. Its strong financials, strategic market positioning, and continuous innovation make its stock an attractive option.

While its P/E ratio is higher compared to some peers, this is reflective of the company’s consistent growth and its potential for future earnings.


In conclusion, Microsoft’s journey over the past decade has been one of transformation and growth. Its current position as one of the world’s most valuable companies is a result of strategic planning, diversification, and a focus on future technologies.

With its robust financial performance, ongoing investments in AI and cloud computing, and strategic market positioning, Microsoft’s stock indeed appears to be a “no-brainer buy” for those looking to invest in a company with a promising future in the ever-evolving tech landscape.

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