Horizon Technology Shows Promise Despite Decreasing Share Price

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Written By Joel Gbolade

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (NASDAQ: HRZN) is a business development company (BDC) primarily engaged in making debt investments in the technology and life sciences sectors.

Despite recent market concerns leading to a decrease in HRZN’s stock price in 2024, the BDC’s investment strategy and dividend payouts present a compelling value proposition, particularly after a significant decline in its valuation multiple from the end of 2023.

Financial Performance and Market Concerns

Horizon Technology Finance has exhibited strong financial performance, with a notable 70% year-over-year increase in net investment income, totaling $61.5 million in 2023. This increase is primarily due to the growth in the underlying loan portfolio.

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However, this positive trend has been tarnished by a threefold increase in net realized losses, amounting to $29.9 million for the year, reflecting the higher risk associated with the sectors in which HRZN invests.

Dividend Sustainability and Coverage

Despite the increased investment losses, HRZN maintains a well-covered dividend bolstered by significant excess dividend coverage.

In 2023, the BDC distributed 67% of its net investment income as dividends, which is a lower payout ratio compared to some of its peers like TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG).

This prudent management of payout ratios has enabled HRZN to pay a special dividend of $0.05 per share in the first quarter of 2024, underscoring its ability to manage excess portfolio income effectively.

Investment Strategy and Portfolio Adjustments

HRZN has continued to grow its investment portfolio, which stood at a fair value of $709.1 million as of December 31, 2023.

The first quarter of 2024 saw HRZN originating $33.5 million in new loans. However, the increase in bad loans during the same period has somewhat overshadowed this growth, leading to a sharp decline in the company’s stock price from $13.50 at the beginning of the year to just $11.25.

Despite this, the BDC’s strategic focus and the ability to secure new investments demonstrate resilience and a forward-looking approach to managing its portfolio.

Risk Assessment and Market Position

The primary risk for Horizon Technology Finance lies in the potential for increased investment losses, which could erode the margin of safety for its dividend payouts and impact the overall net asset value (NAV).

By the end of 2023, HRZN’s NAV had fallen by 15%, reflecting these challenges.

Yet, the current market conditions and the BDC’s competitive valuation suggest that HRZN is trading at a 15% premium to its NAV, providing a buffer against further market downturns.

Entry Opportunities and Investment Outlook

The recent correction in HRZN’s stock price, coupled with its robust dividend coverage, presents an attractive entry point for investors seeking high-yield opportunities.

Credit: DepositPhotos

The BDC’s operational strategy and ongoing loan originations suggest a continued commitment to growth and dividend sustainability.

Given the broader market’s sentiment and potential risks in the tech and life sciences sectors, HRZN’s position offers a balanced risk/reward profile that could appeal to passive income investors.

A Promising Investment Despite Uncertainty

In conclusion, Horizon Technology Finance stands out as a promising investment in the BDC sector thanks to its disciplined approach to portfolio management and dividend coverage.

Despite facing significant market and sector-specific challenges in 2024, HRZN’s strategic actions and strong dividend yield position it as a resilient option for investors.

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