Bumble Is An Interesting Investment Opportunity Amidst Dating-App Sector Woes

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Written By Nathan Goldstein

Broad Product Portfolio and Strategic Acquisitions

Bumble operates a diverse portfolio of five apps: Bumble, Bumble BFF, Badoo, Fruitz, and Official. The latter two were acquired to strengthen its market presence.

Bumble BFF, designed for finding friends, and Official, aimed at helping couples maintain healthy relationships, offer unique value propositions that set Bumble apart from traditional dating apps.

Consistent User Growth in a Competitive Market

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Despite the challenges in the dating-app sector, Bumble continues to demonstrate consistent user growth. The flagship Bumble app added 42,000 net-new users in the most recent quarter, reaching 2.73 million paid users, a year-over-year increase of 18%.

This growth is particularly notable given the dominance of competitors like Tinder and Hinge.

Bumble’s recent redesign of its app and the introduction of the Premium+ subscription offering have been well-received by consumers. According to CEO Lidiane Jones, the engagement metrics are promising, with increased chat initiation and higher match rates.

International Expansion

Bumble’s growth is not limited to the U.S. market. The company is seeing strong user growth in Europe and Latin America, with plans to expand further into Western Europe, Latin America, and Asia.

This geographical diversification helps mitigate risks specifically associated with market saturation in the U.S. and positions Bumble for continued and sustained growth.

Profitability and Financial Health

Bumble has reported significant profitability, with adjusted EBITDA margins reaching a multi-year high of 28% in the most recent quarter. The company’s adjusted EBITDA grew by 25% year-over-year to $74 million.

Bumble expects to achieve at least 300 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion this year, driven by continued growth in paid users and premium feature adoption.

Valuation and Market Position

Bumble’s current market valuation appears attractive. With a market cap of approximately $1.34 billion and an enterprise value of $1.70 billion, Bumble trades at a multiple of 1.5x EV/FY24 revenue and 5.1x EV/FY24 adjusted EBITDA.

These multiples suggest that Bumble may be undervalued, especially considering its profitability and growth prospects.

Risks and Investment Considerations

While Bumble presents a compelling investment opportunity, there are risks to consider. Competitive pressures are significant, with dating apps often experiencing phases of popularity followed by periods of decline.

Bumble’s broad app portfolio, including offerings like Official that target couples, helps mitigate some of these risks.

Macro-economic factors also pose risks. In times of economic uncertainty, consumers may reduce discretionary spending, including on dating apps and premium features.

However, Bumble’s focus on expanding its international footprint and diversifying its product offerings provides some insulation against these risks.

Bumble Has Upside Potential

Credits: DepositPhotos

Bumble Inc. represents an interesting investment opportunity in the dating-app sector. Despite challenges and competitive pressures, Bumble’s consistent user growth, profitability, and strategic expansion into international markets position it well for the future.

At current valuation levels, Bumble offers significant upside potential, making it an attractive option for investors looking for growth in the tech sector.





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