Opera’s AI Monetization Holds Substantial Promise and High Growth Prospects

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Written By Jackson Hartwell

Opera Limited (NASDAQ: OPRA) has continued to strengthen its position in the digital landscape, leveraging strong monetization strategies across its gaming, advertising, and search engine platforms.

Despite recent market fluctuations, OPRA maintains a compelling investment case driven by its growth prospects and shareholder-friendly policies, including dividends.

AI Monetization and Strategic Initiatives

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Over the past few months, Opera has intensified efforts to monetize its browser and digital services through enhanced AI capabilities.

The company’s browser now supports 150 Large Language Models, including partnerships with industry giants like Meta, Google, and Mistral AI. Notably, Opera’s strategy emphasizes local data storage to enhance user privacy and security, aligning with consumer preferences amid growing concerns over data protection.

These advancements are pivotal as Opera expands its multi-modal capabilities, integrating text, voice, and image recognition features. Strategic alliances with Google have further bolstered advertising and search revenues, with Q1 2024 reporting a 24% year-over-year increase in global ARPU to $1.34 and advertising revenues climbing 20.8% to $58.64 million.

Financial Performance and Market Position

Opera’s disciplined focus on higher Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) regions since FQ2’21 has yielded significant results, evidenced by an expansion in adjusted EBITDA margins to 24.5%, marking a notable improvement from FY2021 levels of 11.1%.

Despite varied performance in global browser market share, Opera achieved a 2.51% share in Q1 2024, with recent data indicating further gains to 2.54% as of May 2024.

Key revenue drivers include extended search distribution agreements with Google through 2025, underscoring Opera’s ability to sustain revenue growth momentum. The company’s FY2024 revenue guidance stands at $459.5 million, reflecting a robust 15.7% year-over-year increase, supported by expanded market penetration in high-ARPU regions and enhanced AI-driven user experiences.

Strategic Investments and Market Dynamics

Opera’s strategic investments, such as the $19 million AI data center in Iceland launched in FQ1 2024, are expected to further accelerate growth in Europe and Asia. These regions collectively accounted for 40% of Opera’s FY2023 revenues, highlighting significant growth potential amidst favorable regulatory developments like the Digital Markets Act in the EU.

The implementation of the Digital Markets Act has facilitated Opera’s market share expansion in the EU and UK, with notable gains observed in mobile user adoption rates. Recent metrics indicate a 2.93% market share in the EU and 1.31% in the UK as of May 2024, reinforcing positive growth expectations for subsequent quarters.

Investment Outlook

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Despite recent volatility, Opera’s stock remains resilient around the $13 range, reflecting investor confidence in its growth trajectory and dividend yield. With a forward yield of 5.81% compared to sector norms, Opera continues to offer attractive returns through dividends and capital appreciation potential.

The current fair value estimate has been adjusted to $12 based on strong earnings growth and a forward P/E ratio aligned with industry benchmarks. Analysts anticipate Opera’s stock to reach a long-term price target of $23.10, presenting a substantial upside potential of 63%.

This outlook is supported by Opera’s strategic initiatives in AI monetization, expanding market share, and a favorable regulatory environment, positioning the company for sustained growth in digital markets.

 

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